Monday, January 9, 2012

Projected New Hampshire results early

Iowa was not a huge success for me.  I was pretty close with Paul and Romney, but grossly underestimated Gingrich's misfortune and Santorum's ascent.

Given that (and Bachmann's departure from the race) I am updating my New Hampshire picks.

Here's what I guessed a month ago:


Romney - 37
Paul - 22
Huntsman - 17
Gingrich - 16
Perry - 5
Bachmann - 2
Santorum - 1


And here's my update:



Romney - 34
Paul - 19
Huntsman - 19
Santorum- 18
Gingrich - 9
Perry - 5


Also, I predicted Paul would take 6 delegates from Iowa.  I'm now updating that to 3, based on the results last week.  For New Hampshire, I'm projecting the same as last month, 2-3 delegates for Paul from the Granite State.